Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-2609:40T-Mobile Park

Astros

Away

5-1

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	0	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	5	9	0
Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Astros scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mariners scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 55%

Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp

Inn.1

Astros scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 45%

Mariners scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.2

Astros scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mariners scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Mariners defense

32%R 40% · RA 25%

Mariners offense × Astros defense

45%R 35% · RA 55%

Sample 20Combined vs league +22pp

Last 20 78% · Season 57% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

67%

+10pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+4pp

7–9 Late

49%

-5pp

F5 first five

66%

+9pp

F9 full game

59%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

156 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 801Runs Allowed 686

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 735Runs Allowed 636

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	#135% 55/156	23% 36/156	29% 46/156	28% 44/156	27% 42/156	25% 39/156	#331% 48/156	28% 43/156	#233% 40/121	60% 9/15
Astros	RA	28% 43/156	25% 39/156	#131% 48/156	26% 41/156	#231% 48/156	28% 43/156	22% 34/156	28% 44/156	#330% 39/132	73% 11/15
Mariners	R	29% 45/155	#131% 48/155	25% 39/155	#231% 48/155	30% 46/155	26% 41/155	24% 37/155	26% 41/155	#330% 35/117	44% 12/27
Mariners	RA	#132% 49/155	22% 34/155	#330% 47/155	22% 34/155	27% 42/155	#231% 48/155	23% 35/155	19% 30/155	29% 36/126	67% 18/27

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.