Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-2502:10

Royals

Away

6-5

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Royals	0	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	6	1
Astros	1	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	5	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Royals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Astros scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 55%

Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp

Inn.5

Royals scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 60%

Astros scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp

Inn.9

Royals scoring tendency

37%

Own scoring 46%

Opponent allowing 28%

Astros scoring tendency

36%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 38%

Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Royals offense × Astros defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Astros offense × Royals defense

43%R 30% · RA 55%

Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp

Last 20 80% · Season 58% · +22pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

63%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

68%

+11pp

7–9 Late

64%

+11pp

F5 first five

62%

+6pp

F9 full game

65%

+9pp

Show team trends+

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 645Runs Allowed 821

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 796Runs Allowed 680

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Royals	R	#230% 46/155	23% 36/155	29% 45/155	#132% 50/155	26% 40/155	#330% 46/155	25% 38/155	29% 45/155	28% 37/132	57% 4/7
Royals	RA	32% 49/155	30% 47/155	32% 49/155	#334% 52/155	33% 51/155	#234% 53/155	26% 41/155	#135% 54/155	27% 28/104	100% 7/7
Astros	R	#135% 54/155	23% 35/155	29% 45/155	28% 44/155	26% 41/155	25% 39/155	#331% 48/155	28% 43/155	#233% 40/120	60% 9/15
Astros	RA	28% 43/155	25% 38/155	#230% 47/155	26% 41/155	#131% 48/155	28% 43/155	22% 34/155	28% 44/155	#330% 39/131	73% 11/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.