Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-2501:40Progressive Field

Orioles

Away

5-1

Guardians

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	0	3	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	5	7	0
Guardians	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Orioles scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Guardians scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.3

Orioles scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Guardians scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.6

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Guardians scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Guardians defense

40%R 30% · RA 50%

Guardians offense × Orioles defense

30%R 20% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp

Last 20 70% · Season 60% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

61%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

54%

-3pp

7–9 Late

57%

+4pp

F5 first five

57%

+0pp

F9 full game

57%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 788Runs Allowed 665

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

156 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 641Runs Allowed 660

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	27% 42/155	30% 47/155	#331% 48/155	#132% 49/155	#232% 49/155	28% 43/155	24% 37/155	26% 41/155	27% 31/116	71% 15/21
Orioles	RA	#330% 46/155	23% 36/155	#131% 48/155	28% 44/155	27% 42/155	#231% 48/155	26% 40/155	27% 42/155	21% 28/134	43% 9/21
Guardians	R	#328% 44/156	26% 40/156	24% 37/156	#129% 46/156	26% 41/156	24% 37/156	#229% 45/156	24% 37/156	20% 25/122	68% 19/28
Guardians	RA	#135% 54/156	15% 24/156	26% 40/156	22% 35/156	#328% 43/156	#231% 49/156	24% 38/156	25% 39/156	25% 31/123	61% 17/28

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.