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Final
2023-09-2501:10Tropicana Field
9-5
Rays
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Blue Jays0500010129110
Rays2001002005130

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 62%
Opponent allowing 11%
Rays scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 31%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
37%R 62% · RA 11%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
33%R 31% · RA 35%
Sample 16Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 70% · Season 55% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-10pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+3pp
7–9 Late
54%
+0pp
F5 first five
50%
-6pp
F9 full game
54%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games
0285684113649018056269753727548877564546795378778876539282410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 707Runs Allowed 635

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

156 games
033669913210541193752787939193498745978268064710152859549161110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 818Runs Allowed 625
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR23% 36/15528% 43/15525% 39/155#329% 45/15528% 44/15526% 41/15528% 44/155#132% 50/155#231% 37/12056% 14/25
RA26% 41/15521% 33/155#128% 43/15525% 39/155#228% 43/15524% 37/15520% 31/15526% 40/155#328% 35/12752% 13/25
RaysR#137% 57/15630% 47/15626% 41/156#234% 53/15629% 45/15629% 46/15631% 48/156#333% 52/15631% 35/11460% 9/15
RA18% 28/15626% 41/156#228% 44/156#134% 53/15627% 42/156#328% 43/15626% 40/15622% 35/15621% 27/12747% 7/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.