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Final
2023-09-2408:40Petco Park
5-2
Padres
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Team1234567891011RHE
Cardinals00000020003560
Padres10000000100260

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.6
Cardinals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Padres defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Cardinals defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 75% · Season 56% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
63%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
64%
+7pp
7–9 Late
48%
-5pp
F5 first five
63%
+6pp
F9 full game
59%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games
033669913284104185822101923767246382570946621057807085565991410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 685Runs Allowed 780

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games
0316293125100591746127987371684946758182671727807486039972410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 717Runs Allowed 633
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#231% 48/154#330% 46/154#133% 51/15429% 44/15423% 36/15427% 42/15425% 38/15426% 40/15429% 36/12555% 6/11
RA#234% 52/15426% 40/154#334% 52/15429% 44/15430% 46/15432% 50/154#135% 54/15426% 40/15431% 36/11764% 7/11
PadresR#136% 55/15425% 38/15428% 43/15429% 44/154#232% 50/154#331% 47/15426% 40/15429% 45/15427% 31/11333% 5/15
RA#326% 40/15423% 35/154#227% 42/15426% 40/15425% 38/154#128% 43/15423% 35/15421% 33/15419% 24/12493% 14/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.