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Final
2023-09-2406:40Great American Ball Park
13-12
Reds
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Pirates00010534013160
Reds35100002112160

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Pirates scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 55%
Reds scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Reds scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#3
Inn.7
Pirates scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 55%
Reds scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Reds defense
45%R 35% · RA 55%
Reds offense × Pirates defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 75% · Season 62% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
70%
+13pp
7–9 Late
58%
+5pp
F5 first five
60%
+3pp
F9 full game
61%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games
03264961286610217374274863977847290578776909074384851519131910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 657Runs Allowed 751

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games
034691041397611118087296873809148876574706689777582863539252010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 725Runs Allowed 774
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR25% 39/154#130% 46/15427% 42/154#230% 46/15423% 36/154#329% 45/15426% 40/15417% 26/15424% 28/11967% 8/12
RA#136% 55/15426% 40/15429% 44/15429% 44/154#329% 45/154#231% 48/15429% 45/15427% 42/15424% 28/11883% 10/12
RedsR29% 45/15528% 44/155#137% 57/155#330% 46/155#230% 47/15529% 45/15525% 38/15526% 41/15528% 36/12878% 14/18
RA#138% 59/15528% 43/15530% 47/155#235% 55/15526% 40/15527% 42/155#335% 55/15526% 41/15528% 35/12556% 10/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.