Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-2406:10Progressive Field

Orioles

Away

2-1

Guardians

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	9	0
Guardians	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Orioles scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 50%

Guardians scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.3

Orioles scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Guardians scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.9

Orioles scoring tendency

37%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 40%

Guardians scoring tendency

27%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 33%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Guardians defense

38%R 25% · RA 50%

Guardians offense × Orioles defense

32%R 25% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp

Last 20 70% · Season 60% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

56%

-1pp

7–9 Late

59%

+5pp

F5 first five

60%

+3pp

F9 full game

59%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 786Runs Allowed 664

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 640Runs Allowed 658

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	27% 41/154	31% 47/154	#331% 48/154	#132% 49/154	#232% 49/154	27% 42/154	24% 37/154	27% 41/154	27% 31/115	71% 15/21
Orioles	RA	#330% 46/154	23% 36/154	#131% 48/154	29% 44/154	27% 42/154	#231% 48/154	25% 39/154	27% 42/154	21% 28/133	43% 9/21
Guardians	R	#228% 44/155	26% 40/155	24% 37/155	#130% 46/155	26% 41/155	24% 37/155	#328% 44/155	24% 37/155	21% 25/121	68% 19/28
Guardians	RA	#134% 53/155	15% 24/155	26% 40/155	23% 35/155	#328% 43/155	#231% 48/155	25% 38/155	25% 39/155	25% 31/122	61% 17/28

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.