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Final
2023-09-2404:10Tropicana Field
6-7
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays0000040206100
Rays400100002X7123

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 69%
Opponent allowing 17%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
43%R 69% · RA 17%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Sample 16Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 73% · Season 55% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+5pp
7–9 Late
55%
+1pp
F5 first five
52%
-4pp
F9 full game
55%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games
0275582110648618056269753727448877560546795378578876519282410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 701Runs Allowed 628

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games
031639512710141193752787939093498745977868064710150857549161110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 811Runs Allowed 619
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR23% 36/15428% 43/15425% 39/154#329% 45/15429% 44/15426% 40/15429% 44/154#132% 49/154#231% 37/11956% 14/25
RA26% 40/15421% 33/154#128% 43/15425% 38/154#228% 43/15424% 37/15420% 31/15426% 40/154#327% 34/12652% 13/25
RaysR#136% 56/15530% 47/15526% 41/155#234% 52/15529% 45/15530% 46/15531% 48/155#334% 52/15530% 34/11360% 9/15
RA18% 28/15526% 41/155#228% 44/155#134% 53/155#327% 42/15527% 42/15526% 40/15522% 34/15521% 27/12647% 7/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.