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Final
2023-09-2309:40Petco Park
2-4
Padres
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Cardinals000001010280
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Cardinals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +22pp
#2
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 45%
Padres scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Padres defense
38%R 45% · RA 30%
Padres offense × Cardinals defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +22pp
Last 20 80% · Season 56% · +24pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
65%
+8pp
4–6 Middle
63%
+5pp
7–9 Late
48%
-6pp
F5 first five
64%
+7pp
F9 full game
59%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games
033669913284104185812101923767246382569936621057796885565991410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 683Runs Allowed 776

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games
0316293125100591736127987371684946758081671727787386039972410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 713Runs Allowed 631
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#231% 48/153#330% 46/153#133% 51/15329% 44/15324% 36/15327% 41/15325% 38/15325% 39/15329% 36/12455% 6/11
RA#234% 52/15325% 39/153#334% 52/15329% 44/15330% 46/15332% 49/153#135% 54/15325% 39/15331% 36/11764% 7/11
PadresR#136% 55/15324% 37/15328% 43/15329% 44/153#233% 50/153#330% 46/15326% 40/15329% 44/15327% 31/11333% 5/15
RA#326% 40/15323% 35/153#127% 42/15326% 40/15325% 38/153#227% 42/15323% 35/15321% 32/15320% 24/12393% 14/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.