Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-2307:05Nationals Park

Braves

Away

9-6

Nationals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Braves	3	0	1	0	2	0	3	0	0	9	10	0
Nationals	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	2	0	6	10	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Braves scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 55%

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp

Inn.5

Braves scoring tendency

50%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 50%

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp

Inn.3

Braves scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Braves offense × Nationals defense

45%R 35% · RA 55%

Nationals offense × Braves defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp

Last 20 80% · Season 64% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

63%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

70%

+13pp

7–9 Late

54%

+0pp

F5 first five

66%

+9pp

F9 full game

62%

+7pp

Show team trends+

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 890Runs Allowed 665

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 662Runs Allowed 800

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Braves	R	#139% 60/153	32% 49/153	35% 53/153	#336% 55/153	#239% 60/153	35% 53/152	28% 42/152	34% 52/152	22% 24/109	75% 9/12
Braves	RA	24% 37/153	24% 36/153	28% 43/153	#130% 46/153	29% 44/153	#230% 45/152	#330% 45/152	24% 36/152	25% 32/128	58% 7/12
Nationals	R	#132% 50/154	#230% 46/154	25% 38/154	#328% 43/154	23% 36/154	25% 38/154	25% 39/154	25% 39/154	27% 34/128	83% 10/12
Nationals	RA	#333% 51/154	29% 45/154	33% 51/154	#236% 55/154	27% 42/154	30% 46/154	#138% 58/154	29% 45/154	31% 36/117	33% 4/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.