Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-2307:05Citizens Bank Park

Mets

Away

4-5

Phillies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Mets	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	4	8	1
Phillies	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	1X	5	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Mets scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Phillies scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.1

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Phillies scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 60%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.8

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Phillies scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Phillies defense

43%R 40% · RA 45%

Phillies offense × Mets defense

30%R 25% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 73% · Season 61% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

+1pp

4–6 Middle

68%

+10pp

7–9 Late

51%

-3pp

F5 first five

62%

+5pp

F9 full game

59%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 676Runs Allowed 690

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 751Runs Allowed 677

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	22% 33/153	21% 32/153	#235% 53/153	#136% 55/153	32% 49/153	#332% 49/152	26% 39/152	20% 31/152	27% 32/119	89% 8/9
Mets	RA	#136% 55/153	27% 42/153	25% 39/153	24% 36/153	29% 44/153	28% 43/152	#331% 47/152	#232% 49/152	23% 26/111	56% 5/9
Phillies	R	#233% 50/153	28% 43/153	30% 46/153	30% 46/153	#135% 54/153	#331% 47/153	31% 47/153	23% 35/153	27% 32/117	64% 14/22
Phillies	RA	#330% 46/153	22% 33/153	#134% 52/153	#232% 49/153	27% 41/153	24% 36/153	25% 38/153	28% 43/153	22% 26/118	59% 13/22

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.