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Final
2023-09-2306:40Tropicana Field
6-2
Rays
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Blue Jays000004002680
Rays100000100280

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 67%
Opponent allowing 12%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Rays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
39%R 67% · RA 12%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Sample 15Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 69% · Season 54% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-7pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+5pp
7–9 Late
54%
+0pp
F5 first five
54%
-3pp
F9 full game
55%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games
0275582110648518056269753727448877556546795278578874519282410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 695Runs Allowed 626

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games
031639512710041193752787939093498745977467964710150857529161110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 809Runs Allowed 613
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR24% 36/15328% 43/15325% 39/153#329% 45/15329% 44/15325% 39/15329% 44/153#132% 49/153#231% 36/11856% 14/25
RA25% 39/15322% 33/153#128% 43/15325% 38/153#228% 43/15324% 37/15320% 30/15326% 40/153#327% 34/12552% 13/25
RaysR#136% 55/15431% 47/15427% 41/154#234% 52/15429% 45/15430% 46/15431% 47/154#334% 52/15430% 34/11260% 9/15
RA18% 28/15427% 41/154#229% 44/154#134% 53/154#327% 42/15427% 41/15426% 40/15422% 34/15421% 26/12547% 7/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.