Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-2306:40Great American Ball Park

Pirates

Away

7-5

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Pirates	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	0	1	7	8	0
Reds	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	5	7	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Pirates scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.6

Pirates scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Reds scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.7

Pirates scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 50%

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Reds defense

40%R 30% · RA 50%

Reds offense × Pirates defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 72% · Season 62% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

55%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

64%

+7pp

7–9 Late

56%

+3pp

F5 first five

57%

+0pp

F9 full game

58%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 650Runs Allowed 746

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 720Runs Allowed 767

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Pirates	R	25% 39/153	#130% 46/153	27% 42/153	#229% 45/153	23% 35/153	#329% 44/153	25% 39/153	17% 26/153	23% 27/118	67% 8/12
Pirates	RA	#136% 55/153	25% 39/153	29% 44/153	29% 44/153	29% 44/153	#231% 47/153	#329% 45/153	27% 42/153	24% 28/117	83% 10/12
Reds	R	29% 45/154	28% 43/154	#137% 57/154	#230% 46/154	#330% 46/154	29% 44/154	25% 38/154	27% 41/154	28% 36/127	78% 14/18
Reds	RA	#138% 59/154	28% 43/154	31% 47/154	#235% 54/154	25% 39/154	27% 41/154	#335% 54/154	27% 41/154	27% 34/124	56% 10/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.