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Final
2023-09-2207:40Wrigley Field
8-6
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Pirates0020100238110
Cubs0000001326102

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.3
Pirates scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.9
Pirates scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 38%
Cubs scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 19%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 78% · Season 56% · +22pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+4pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
54%
-3pp
F9 full game
56%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games
03264961286610217373272863967847088576756888974181847499131910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 642Runs Allowed 740

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games
0367210814478861777421158637881489675737967777711266861499101210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 770Runs Allowed 677
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR26% 39/152#130% 46/15227% 41/152#230% 45/15222% 34/152#329% 44/15226% 39/15216% 25/15222% 26/11767% 8/12
RA#136% 55/15226% 39/152#329% 44/15229% 44/15229% 44/152#231% 47/15229% 44/15227% 41/15223% 27/11683% 10/12
CubsR29% 44/15227% 41/152#136% 54/152#231% 47/152#330% 45/15224% 37/15226% 40/15230% 45/15228% 31/11260% 9/15
RA#234% 51/15227% 41/152#134% 52/15228% 42/15222% 34/15228% 42/152#330% 45/15224% 37/15223% 28/12160% 9/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.