Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-2207:15Progressive Field

Orioles

Away

2-5

Guardians

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	7	0
Guardians	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	X	5	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Orioles scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Guardians scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.1

Orioles scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Guardians scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.6

Orioles scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Guardians scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Guardians defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Guardians offense × Orioles defense

38%R 35% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 72% · Season 56% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

63%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

55%

-2pp

7–9 Late

51%

-2pp

F5 first five

58%

+1pp

F9 full game

57%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 776Runs Allowed 650

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 626Runs Allowed 648

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	26% 40/152	#331% 47/152	31% 47/152	#132% 49/152	#232% 49/152	28% 42/152	24% 36/152	26% 40/152	27% 30/113	71% 15/21
Orioles	RA	#330% 45/152	23% 35/152	#132% 48/152	28% 43/152	27% 41/152	#232% 48/152	25% 38/152	27% 41/152	20% 27/132	43% 9/21
Guardians	R	#228% 43/153	25% 39/153	24% 37/153	#129% 45/153	26% 40/153	24% 37/153	#328% 43/153	24% 36/153	20% 24/120	68% 19/28
Guardians	RA	#134% 52/153	16% 24/153	25% 39/153	23% 35/153	#328% 43/153	#231% 48/153	24% 37/153	25% 38/153	25% 30/120	61% 17/28

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.