Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-2207:05Nationals Park

Braves

Away

10-3

Nationals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Braves	0	0	5	0	1	0	1	1	2	10	18	0
Nationals	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Braves scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 60%

Nationals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp

Inn.5

Braves scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 45%

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp

Inn.6

Braves scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 30%

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Braves offense × Nationals defense

48%R 35% · RA 60%

Nationals offense × Braves defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +25pp

Last 20 85% · Season 65% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

72%

+15pp

7–9 Late

49%

-4pp

F5 first five

66%

+9pp

F9 full game

61%

+6pp

Show team trends+

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 880Runs Allowed 662

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 659Runs Allowed 790

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Braves	R	#139% 60/152	32% 49/152	34% 52/152	#336% 55/152	#239% 59/152	35% 53/151	27% 41/151	34% 51/151	21% 23/108	75% 9/12
Braves	RA	24% 37/152	24% 36/152	28% 42/152	#130% 46/152	29% 44/152	#230% 45/151	#330% 45/151	24% 36/151	24% 31/127	58% 7/12
Nationals	R	#133% 50/153	#230% 46/153	24% 37/153	#328% 43/153	24% 36/153	25% 38/153	25% 39/153	25% 39/153	26% 33/127	83% 10/12
Nationals	RA	#333% 51/153	29% 45/153	33% 50/153	#236% 55/153	27% 41/153	30% 46/153	#137% 57/153	29% 44/153	30% 35/116	33% 4/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.