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Final
2023-09-2107:40Wrigley Field
13-7
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Pirates00071300213150
Cubs0100510007120

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.9
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 31%
Cubs scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 19%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
38%R 45% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 68% · Season 63% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
-0pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-5pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
52%
-5pp
F9 full game
54%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

151 games
03264961286610217372272863897846983573746888974181845499131910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 629Runs Allowed 733

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

151 games
0367210814478861767421158637874484665727667777711266861479101210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 763Runs Allowed 664
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR26% 39/151#130% 46/15127% 41/151#229% 44/15122% 33/151#328% 43/15126% 39/15117% 25/15122% 25/11667% 8/12
RA#136% 55/15125% 38/151#329% 44/15129% 44/15128% 43/151#230% 46/15129% 44/15127% 41/15123% 27/11583% 10/12
CubsR29% 44/15126% 40/151#136% 54/151#231% 47/15129% 44/15124% 36/15126% 40/151#330% 45/15128% 31/11160% 9/15
RA#234% 51/15127% 41/151#134% 52/15127% 41/15122% 33/15127% 41/151#330% 45/15125% 37/15122% 27/12060% 9/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.