Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-2007:40Wrigley Field

Pirates

Away

1-14

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Pirates	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	0
Cubs	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	8	X	14	12	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Pirates scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.1

Pirates scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cubs scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +0pp

Inn.9

Pirates scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 31%

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 36%

Opponent allowing 24%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Cubs offense × Pirates defense

30%R 25% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +6pp

Last 20 62% · Season 55% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

54%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-4pp

7–9 Late

52%

-1pp

F5 first five

52%

-5pp

F9 full game

53%

-3pp

Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

150 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 628Runs Allowed 719

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

150 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 749Runs Allowed 663

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Pirates	R	26% 39/150	#131% 46/150	27% 40/150	#229% 44/150	22% 33/150	#329% 43/150	26% 39/150	17% 25/150	22% 25/115	67% 8/12
Pirates	RA	#136% 54/150	25% 37/150	29% 43/150	#329% 44/150	29% 43/150	#230% 45/150	29% 44/150	27% 40/150	23% 27/115	83% 10/12
Cubs	R	29% 43/150	26% 39/150	#135% 53/150	#231% 47/150	#329% 44/150	23% 35/150	27% 40/150	29% 44/150	28% 31/111	60% 9/15
Cubs	RA	#134% 51/150	27% 41/150	#234% 51/150	27% 41/150	22% 33/150	27% 41/150	#330% 45/150	25% 37/150	23% 27/119	60% 9/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.