Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-1906:40Great American Ball Park

Twins

Away

3-7

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Twins	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	5	0
Reds	0	2	0	2	0	0	3	0	X	7	9	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Twins scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.3

Twins scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.9

Twins scoring tendency

29%

Own scoring 38%

Opponent allowing 20%

Reds scoring tendency

33%

Own scoring 39%

Opponent allowing 28%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Twins offense × Reds defense

38%R 35% · RA 40%

Reds offense × Twins defense

30%R 20% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp

Last 20 68% · Season 60% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

55%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-5pp

7–9 Late

58%

+5pp

F5 first five

55%

-2pp

F9 full game

55%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

150 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 705Runs Allowed 615

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

151 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 710Runs Allowed 752

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Twins	R	27% 41/150	24% 36/150	#131% 46/150	29% 43/150	23% 35/150	#230% 45/150	#330% 45/150	23% 35/150	26% 31/117	66% 19/29
Twins	RA	24% 36/150	27% 40/150	27% 40/150	#328% 42/150	20% 30/150	22% 33/150	#131% 46/150	20% 30/150	#231% 36/118	48% 14/29
Reds	R	#330% 45/151	28% 42/151	#137% 56/151	29% 44/151	#230% 46/151	29% 44/151	24% 36/151	27% 41/151	29% 36/125	78% 14/18
Reds	RA	#139% 59/151	28% 42/151	31% 47/151	#234% 52/151	26% 39/151	26% 40/151	#334% 51/151	26% 39/151	26% 32/121	56% 10/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.