Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-1801:35Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Rays

Away

4-5

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H	E
Rays	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	4	5	0
Orioles	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1X	5	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Rays scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Orioles scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.4

Rays scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Inn.6

Rays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Orioles defense

40%R 35% · RA 45%

Orioles offense × Rays defense

38%R 30% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp

Last 20 78% · Season 59% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

61%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

60%

+3pp

7–9 Late

40%

-13pp

F5 first five

60%

+3pp

F9 full game

54%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

150 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 791Runs Allowed 594

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

148 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 753Runs Allowed 632

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	#135% 52/150	31% 47/150	27% 40/150	#234% 51/150	30% 45/150	29% 44/150	31% 47/150	#333% 50/150	30% 33/109	62% 8/13
Rays	RA	18% 27/150	27% 40/150	#229% 44/150	#133% 50/150	#328% 42/150	26% 39/150	27% 40/150	21% 32/150	21% 25/121	38% 5/13
Orioles	R	26% 38/148	#332% 47/148	30% 45/148	#132% 48/148	#232% 48/148	28% 41/148	23% 34/148	26% 39/148	26% 28/109	68% 13/19
Orioles	RA	28% 42/148	24% 35/148	#132% 47/148	#329% 43/148	28% 41/148	#231% 46/148	25% 37/148	26% 38/148	20% 26/128	42% 8/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.