Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-1608:10American Family Field

Nationals

Away

3-5

Brewers

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	6	0
Brewers	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	1	X	5	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 50%

Brewers scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 60%

Sustained highCombined vs league +30pp

Inn.5

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Brewers scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Inn.7

Nationals scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 20%

Brewers scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Brewers defense

45%R 40% · RA 50%

Brewers offense × Nationals defense

45%R 30% · RA 60%

Sample 20Combined vs league +30pp

Last 20 90% · Season 63% · +27pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

59%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-5pp

7–9 Late

49%

-4pp

F5 first five

57%

+0pp

F9 full game

53%

-3pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

147 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 631Runs Allowed 763

Brewers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

146 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 650Runs Allowed 600

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#133% 48/147	#230% 44/147	24% 35/147	#329% 42/147	24% 35/147	24% 36/147	26% 38/147	25% 37/147	26% 32/123	90% 9/10
Nationals	RA	#334% 50/147	30% 44/147	34% 50/147	#236% 53/147	26% 38/147	30% 44/147	#138% 56/147	28% 41/147	30% 34/112	40% 4/10
Brewers	R	#232% 46/146	21% 31/146	#330% 44/146	23% 33/146	25% 36/146	23% 34/146	#133% 48/146	24% 35/146	19% 21/110	63% 12/19
Brewers	RA	#227% 40/146	#327% 40/146	#129% 42/146	24% 35/146	21% 31/146	22% 32/146	23% 34/146	23% 34/146	22% 25/115	53% 10/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.