Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-1607:10Citi Field

Reds

Away

5-3

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	5	8	0
Mets	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	3	5	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Reds scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Mets scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +27pp

Inn.9

Reds scoring tendency

44%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 38%

Mets scoring tendency

24%

Own scoring 27%

Opponent allowing 21%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.4

Reds scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Mets defense

40%R 35% · RA 45%

Mets offense × Reds defense

40%R 40% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +27pp

Last 20 80% · Season 53% · +27pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

47%

-10pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-4pp

7–9 Late

66%

+12pp

F5 first five

48%

-9pp

F9 full game

55%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

148 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 698Runs Allowed 739

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

146 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 646Runs Allowed 665

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	#230% 44/148	28% 41/148	#138% 56/148	29% 43/148	#330% 44/148	29% 43/148	24% 35/148	27% 40/148	30% 36/122	78% 14/18
Reds	RA	#139% 58/148	28% 42/148	31% 46/148	#234% 51/148	26% 38/148	26% 39/148	#334% 50/148	26% 39/148	27% 32/119	56% 10/18
Mets	R	22% 32/146	21% 30/146	#234% 50/146	#136% 53/146	#332% 47/146	32% 46/145	26% 37/145	21% 30/145	26% 29/113	89% 8/9
Mets	RA	#136% 53/146	28% 41/146	25% 37/146	23% 34/146	27% 40/146	27% 39/145	#332% 46/145	#232% 47/145	24% 25/105	56% 5/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.