Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-1607:05Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Rays

Away

7-1

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Rays	0	0	0	2	1	4	0	0	0	7	13	1
Orioles	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Rays scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 50%

Orioles scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp

Inn.4

Rays scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Inn.6

Rays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Orioles defense

42%R 35% · RA 50%

Orioles offense × Rays defense

38%R 30% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp

Last 20 80% · Season 60% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

60%

+3pp

4–6 Middle

61%

+4pp

7–9 Late

45%

-9pp

F5 first five

60%

+3pp

F9 full game

55%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

148 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 784Runs Allowed 585

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

146 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 744Runs Allowed 625

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	#135% 52/148	32% 47/148	27% 40/148	#234% 50/148	30% 44/148	29% 43/148	32% 47/148	#334% 50/148	31% 33/107	62% 8/13
Rays	RA	18% 26/148	26% 39/148	#230% 44/148	#133% 49/148	#328% 41/148	26% 38/148	27% 40/148	22% 32/148	21% 25/120	38% 5/13
Orioles	R	25% 37/146	#332% 46/146	31% 45/146	#132% 47/146	#232% 47/146	27% 40/146	23% 34/146	27% 39/146	26% 28/108	68% 13/19
Orioles	RA	#329% 42/146	24% 35/146	#132% 47/146	29% 42/146	27% 40/146	#231% 45/146	25% 37/146	26% 38/146	21% 26/126	42% 8/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.