Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-1507:15Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Rays

Away

4-3

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Rays	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	7	0
Orioles	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	3	4	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Rays scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Orioles scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp

Inn.6

Rays scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.5

Rays scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Orioles scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Orioles defense

40%R 35% · RA 45%

Orioles offense × Rays defense

40%R 35% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp

Last 20 80% · Season 60% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

+1pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+5pp

7–9 Late

45%

-8pp

F5 first five

59%

+1pp

F9 full game

55%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

147 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 780Runs Allowed 582

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

145 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 741Runs Allowed 621

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	#135% 52/147	32% 47/147	27% 39/147	#234% 50/147	30% 44/147	29% 43/147	31% 46/147	#334% 50/147	31% 33/106	62% 8/13
Rays	RA	18% 26/147	26% 38/147	#230% 44/147	#133% 48/147	#327% 40/147	26% 38/147	27% 40/147	22% 32/147	21% 25/119	38% 5/13
Orioles	R	26% 37/145	#331% 45/145	31% 45/145	#132% 46/145	#232% 46/145	28% 40/145	23% 34/145	27% 39/145	26% 28/107	68% 13/19
Orioles	RA	#329% 42/145	24% 35/145	#132% 46/145	29% 42/145	28% 40/145	#231% 45/145	25% 36/145	26% 38/145	21% 26/125	42% 8/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.