Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-1406:35Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Cardinals

Away

1-0

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cardinals	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	0
Orioles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Cardinals scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.4

Cardinals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Orioles scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.6

Cardinals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 55%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Orioles defense

43%R 40% · RA 45%

Orioles offense × Cardinals defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 75% · Season 65% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+5pp

4–6 Middle

70%

+13pp

7–9 Late

54%

+0pp

F5 first five

64%

+7pp

F9 full game

62%

+6pp

Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

145 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 665Runs Allowed 739

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

144 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 741Runs Allowed 620

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cardinals	R	#232% 46/145	#332% 46/145	#133% 48/145	28% 41/145	23% 34/145	28% 41/145	26% 38/145	26% 37/145	30% 35/118	55% 6/11
Cardinals	RA	#334% 49/145	26% 38/145	#234% 50/145	28% 41/145	30% 44/145	32% 47/145	#137% 54/145	26% 37/145	30% 33/109	64% 7/11
Orioles	R	26% 37/144	#331% 45/144	31% 45/144	#132% 46/144	#232% 46/144	28% 40/144	24% 34/144	27% 39/144	26% 28/106	68% 13/19
Orioles	RA	#329% 42/144	24% 35/144	#132% 46/144	28% 41/144	28% 40/144	#231% 45/144	25% 36/144	26% 38/144	21% 26/124	42% 8/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.