Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-1306:35Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Cardinals

Away

5-2

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cardinals	1	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	5	9	1
Orioles	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Cardinals scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 45%

Orioles scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp

Inn.4

Cardinals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 50%

Heating upCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.6

Cardinals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 55%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Orioles defense

45%R 45% · RA 45%

Orioles offense × Cardinals defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp

Last 20 82% · Season 66% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+5pp

4–6 Middle

69%

+12pp

7–9 Late

56%

+3pp

F5 first five

64%

+7pp

F9 full game

63%

+7pp

Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

144 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 660Runs Allowed 737

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

143 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 739Runs Allowed 615

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cardinals	R	#231% 45/144	#331% 45/144	#133% 48/144	28% 40/144	24% 34/144	28% 41/144	26% 37/144	26% 37/144	30% 35/117	55% 6/11
Cardinals	RA	#334% 49/144	26% 38/144	#235% 50/144	28% 41/144	30% 43/144	33% 47/144	#138% 54/144	26% 37/144	31% 33/108	64% 7/11
Orioles	R	26% 37/143	#231% 45/143	#331% 45/143	#132% 46/143	31% 45/143	28% 40/143	24% 34/143	27% 39/143	27% 28/105	68% 13/19
Orioles	RA	#329% 41/143	24% 34/143	#132% 46/143	28% 40/143	28% 40/143	#231% 45/143	24% 35/143	27% 38/143	21% 26/123	42% 8/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.