Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-1306:35PNC Park

Nationals

Away

1-5

Pirates

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	0
Pirates	0	2	0	0	2	0	1	0	X	5	11	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Pirates scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 60%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.9

Nationals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 26%

Opponent allowing 29%

Pirates scoring tendency

39%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 44%

Heating upCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.3

Nationals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Pirates scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Pirates defense

30%R 40% · RA 20%

Pirates offense × Nationals defense

45%R 30% · RA 60%

Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 75% · Season 64% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

59%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-4pp

7–9 Late

53%

-1pp

F5 first five

58%

+1pp

F9 full game

55%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

144 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 624Runs Allowed 749

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

144 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 603Runs Allowed 697

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#133% 47/144	#231% 44/144	24% 35/144	#328% 41/144	24% 34/144	24% 35/144	26% 38/144	26% 37/144	26% 31/120	90% 9/10
Nationals	RA	#334% 49/144	29% 42/144	34% 49/144	#236% 52/144	25% 36/144	31% 44/144	#138% 55/144	28% 41/144	30% 34/112	40% 4/10
Pirates	R	25% 36/144	#130% 43/144	26% 37/144	#229% 42/144	22% 31/144	#329% 42/144	26% 37/144	17% 25/144	22% 25/113	67% 8/12
Pirates	RA	#136% 52/144	25% 36/144	29% 42/144	#230% 43/144	29% 42/144	28% 41/144	#330% 43/144	27% 39/144	23% 25/109	83% 10/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.