Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-1102:10Target Field

Mets

Away

2-0

Twins

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	4	0
Twins	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Mets scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Twins scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.9

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 28%

Opponent allowing 28%

Twins scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 31%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.3

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Twins scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Twins defense

40%R 40% · RA 40%

Twins offense × Mets defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 75% · Season 58% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

57%

-0pp

7–9 Late

62%

+8pp

F5 first five

56%

-1pp

F9 full game

58%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

141 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 616Runs Allowed 655

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

142 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 664Runs Allowed 588

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	22% 31/141	21% 30/141	#234% 48/141	#135% 50/141	31% 44/141	#332% 45/140	26% 36/140	20% 28/140	25% 28/111	89% 8/9
Mets	RA	#138% 53/141	29% 41/141	26% 36/141	23% 33/141	28% 40/141	27% 38/140	#233% 46/140	#331% 43/140	24% 24/100	56% 5/9
Twins	R	28% 40/142	25% 35/142	#230% 43/142	28% 40/142	23% 33/142	#131% 44/142	#330% 43/142	23% 33/142	25% 28/110	66% 19/29
Twins	RA	24% 34/142	27% 39/142	27% 38/142	#329% 41/142	19% 27/142	23% 32/142	#131% 44/142	21% 30/142	#231% 34/111	48% 14/29

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.