Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-1101:40Great American Ball Park

Cardinals

Away

1-7

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cardinals	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1
Reds	0	0	2	0	0	3	1	1	X	7	10	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Cardinals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.3

Cardinals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.4

Cardinals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Reds defense

38%R 30% · RA 45%

Reds offense × Cardinals defense

32%R 20% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 70% · Season 61% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

61%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

60%

+3pp

7–9 Late

66%

+12pp

F5 first five

60%

+2pp

F9 full game

62%

+6pp

Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

142 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 654Runs Allowed 719

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

144 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 679Runs Allowed 722

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cardinals	R	#331% 44/142	#232% 45/142	#133% 47/142	27% 39/142	23% 33/142	29% 41/142	26% 37/142	26% 37/142	30% 35/115	55% 6/11
Cardinals	RA	#235% 49/142	26% 37/142	#335% 49/142	28% 40/142	30% 42/142	32% 45/142	#137% 53/142	25% 35/142	31% 33/108	64% 7/11
Reds	R	#231% 44/144	27% 39/144	#138% 54/144	29% 42/144	#331% 44/144	28% 41/144	24% 34/144	27% 39/144	29% 35/119	76% 13/17
Reds	RA	#139% 56/144	29% 42/144	31% 45/144	#333% 48/144	26% 37/144	27% 39/144	#234% 49/144	26% 38/144	28% 32/116	59% 10/17

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.