Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-1007:10

Padres

Away

5-7

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Padres	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	0	0	5	9	0
Astros	0	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	X	7	11	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Padres scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 40%

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp

Inn.3

Padres scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 50%

Astros scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.5

Padres scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 55%

Astros scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Astros defense

45%R 50% · RA 40%

Astros offense × Padres defense

38%R 45% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp

Last 20 82% · Season 61% · +21pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

71%

+14pp

4–6 Middle

57%

-0pp

7–9 Late

48%

-6pp

F5 first five

64%

+6pp

F9 full game

58%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

142 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 648Runs Allowed 575

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

142 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 731Runs Allowed 618

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Padres	R	#135% 50/142	25% 35/142	29% 41/142	26% 37/142	#232% 46/142	30% 42/142	25% 36/142	#330% 43/142	27% 28/104	33% 5/15
Padres	RA	#226% 37/142	23% 32/142	25% 35/142	#326% 37/142	26% 37/142	#127% 38/142	24% 34/142	20% 29/142	18% 21/115	93% 14/15
Astros	R	#135% 50/142	24% 34/142	28% 40/142	29% 41/142	25% 36/142	25% 35/142	#331% 44/142	27% 39/142	#233% 36/110	60% 9/15
Astros	RA	26% 37/142	25% 36/142	#230% 42/142	27% 39/142	#330% 42/142	27% 38/142	20% 29/142	29% 41/142	#130% 36/120	73% 11/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.