Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-1006:05Citizens Bank Park

Marlins

Away

4-8

Phillies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	4	10	2
Phillies	0	5	0	0	3	0	0	0	X	8	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Marlins scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Phillies scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +23pp

Inn.3

Marlins scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Phillies scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.5

Marlins scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 20%

Phillies scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Phillies defense

40%R 40% · RA 40%

Phillies offense × Marlins defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp

Last 20 82% · Season 52% · +30pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

63%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

56%

-1pp

7–9 Late

49%

-5pp

F5 first five

60%

+3pp

F9 full game

56%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

141 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 579Runs Allowed 622

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

140 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 680Runs Allowed 612

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	23% 32/141	22% 31/141	#132% 45/141	#229% 41/141	24% 34/141	25% 35/141	25% 35/141	#328% 40/141	23% 25/109	74% 14/19
Marlins	RA	21% 30/141	24% 34/141	26% 37/141	#230% 42/141	26% 37/141	#131% 44/141	#329% 41/141	27% 38/141	28% 30/108	58% 11/19
Phillies	R	#331% 43/140	27% 38/140	30% 42/140	30% 42/140	#136% 50/140	31% 43/140	#232% 45/140	23% 32/140	27% 29/107	68% 13/19
Phillies	RA	#330% 42/140	23% 32/140	#133% 46/140	#231% 43/140	25% 35/140	23% 32/140	26% 36/140	29% 40/140	23% 25/107	53% 10/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.