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Final
2023-09-1002:10Target Field
Mets
Away
4-8
Twins
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Team123456789RHE
Mets200000020470
Twins02100041X8130

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Mets scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Twins scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.9
Mets scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 33%
Twins scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 38%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.3
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Twins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Twins defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Twins offense × Mets defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 78% · Season 58% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+2pp
7–9 Late
60%
+6pp
F5 first five
57%
-0pp
F9 full game
58%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

140 games
0285684112488915272286633876048677572726678474578853409161210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 612Runs Allowed 647

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

141 games
0295887117775517373293713666945051571556778477246847579302310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.61.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 656Runs Allowed 584
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR21% 30/14021% 30/140#234% 48/140#136% 50/14031% 44/140#332% 45/13926% 36/13919% 27/13925% 28/11089% 8/9
RA#138% 53/14029% 40/14025% 35/14024% 33/14029% 40/14027% 38/139#232% 45/139#330% 42/13924% 24/10056% 5/9
TwinsR28% 40/14124% 34/141#230% 42/14128% 40/14123% 33/141#131% 44/141#330% 42/14123% 32/14125% 28/11066% 19/29
RA23% 33/14128% 39/14127% 38/141#329% 41/14119% 27/14123% 32/141#131% 44/14121% 29/141#231% 34/11048% 14/29

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.