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Final
2023-09-0908:10Target Field
Mets
Away
2-5
Twins
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Mets000200000241
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Mets scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 39%
Twins scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.4
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Twins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.3
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Twins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Twins defense
34%R 29% · RA 39%
Twins offense × Mets defense
36%R 36% · RA 35%
Sample 14Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 70% · Season 53% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
57%
-0pp
7–9 Late
61%
+7pp
F5 first five
56%
-2pp
F9 full game
58%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

139 games
0275582110488815272286633855948677572726678174578853409161210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 610Runs Allowed 642

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

140 games
0295887117765517373293713656745051571556748477246847579302310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.61.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 651Runs Allowed 582
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR22% 30/13922% 30/139#235% 48/139#135% 49/13932% 44/139#333% 45/13826% 36/13820% 27/13826% 28/10989% 8/9
RA#137% 52/13929% 40/13925% 35/13923% 32/13929% 40/13928% 38/138#232% 44/138#330% 42/13824% 24/10056% 5/9
TwinsR28% 39/14024% 34/140#230% 42/14028% 39/14024% 33/140#131% 44/140#329% 41/14023% 32/14025% 28/11066% 19/29
RA24% 33/14028% 39/14027% 38/140#329% 40/14019% 27/14023% 32/140#131% 44/14021% 29/140#231% 34/10948% 14/29

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.