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Final
2023-09-0906:40Tropicana Field
4-7
Rays
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Mariners021010000470
Rays20000041X780

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Mariners scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.3
Mariners scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp
#3
Inn.5
Mariners scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Rays defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Rays offense × Mariners defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 75% · Season 57% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
64%
+7pp
7–9 Late
50%
-4pp
F5 first five
59%
+1pp
F9 full game
57%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

140 games
0306191122777117355277913974247373557646585179147849509182010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 670Runs Allowed 564

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

141 games
029598811889351906427075386834916758766672627944785251915910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 746Runs Allowed 559
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#330% 42/14029% 41/14026% 36/140#231% 43/14029% 41/14026% 37/14025% 35/14029% 40/140#131% 32/10439% 9/23
RA#331% 43/14021% 30/140#131% 44/14020% 28/14028% 39/140#231% 44/14023% 32/14019% 27/14029% 34/11661% 14/23
RaysR#334% 48/14133% 46/14126% 36/141#135% 49/14129% 41/14129% 41/14131% 44/141#235% 49/14130% 31/10262% 8/13
RA18% 25/14126% 36/141#229% 41/141#133% 46/14126% 37/14126% 37/141#328% 39/14122% 31/14122% 25/11438% 5/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.