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Final
2023-09-0902:20Wrigley Field
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Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Diamondbacks scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.9
Diamondbacks scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 31%
Opponent allowing 39%
Cubs scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 62%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp
#3
Inn.8
Diamondbacks scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Diamondbacks offense × Cubs defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Cubs offense × Diamondbacks defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 80% · Season 65% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-6pp
7–9 Late
63%
+9pp
F5 first five
55%
-2pp
F9 full game
58%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Diamondbacks — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

141 games
0275481108788617970269743747846176575796846977765856699101110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 663Runs Allowed 677

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

141 games
0336699133747917174210685378674796056868677707104658554796610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 718Runs Allowed 621
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
DiamondbacksR#137% 52/14130% 42/14128% 39/14129% 41/14125% 35/14129% 41/141#231% 44/14129% 41/141#331% 33/10842% 5/12
RA30% 43/141#132% 45/14127% 38/14126% 37/141#231% 44/141#331% 44/14127% 38/14126% 37/14129% 33/11267% 8/12
CubsR29% 41/14126% 37/141#134% 48/141#233% 47/14129% 41/14123% 33/14128% 40/141#331% 44/14128% 29/10350% 5/10
RA#234% 48/141#329% 41/141#136% 51/14127% 38/14121% 30/14126% 36/14129% 41/14126% 36/14124% 27/11450% 5/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.