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Final
2023-09-0807:20Truist Park
5-8
Braves
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Cardinals030000002580
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Braves scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.4
Cardinals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Braves scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 55%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Braves scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Braves defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Braves offense × Cardinals defense
48%R 50% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 77% · Season 62% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
69%
+12pp
7–9 Late
50%
-3pp
F5 first five
62%
+4pp
F9 full game
60%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

139 games
0326496128759318175287853706245970569826581027766285259991410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 636Runs Allowed 704

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games
03979118158126551996028172399724897358468663677965484944915610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 801Runs Allowed 571
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR30% 42/139#232% 44/139#132% 45/13927% 38/13924% 33/13929% 41/13926% 36/13926% 36/139#330% 34/11255% 6/11
RA#235% 48/13926% 36/139#335% 48/13928% 39/13929% 41/13932% 44/139#137% 52/13925% 35/13931% 33/10664% 7/11
BravesR#139% 54/13836% 49/13833% 46/13835% 48/138#237% 51/13834% 46/13727% 37/137#336% 49/13723% 23/9867% 6/9
RA23% 32/13822% 31/13827% 37/138#131% 43/138#329% 40/13828% 39/137#230% 41/13724% 33/13723% 27/11767% 6/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.