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Final
2023-09-0706:40Great American Ball Park
8-4
Reds
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Mariners0205001008110
Reds1000110014101

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Mariners scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 47%
Opponent allowing 27%
Reds scoring tendency
46%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 41%
Sustained highCombined vs league +30pp
#2
Inn.6
Mariners scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Reds scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.8
Mariners scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Reds scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Reds defense
37%R 47% · RA 27%
Reds offense × Mariners defense
46%R 50% · RA 41%
Sample 15Combined vs league +30pp
Last 20 82% · Season 59% · +23pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+3pp
7–9 Late
64%
+10pp
F5 first five
56%
-1pp
F9 full game
60%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games
0285786115777017055277913924247372557636575179147849499182010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 661Runs Allowed 560

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

141 games
03264961287410216884288773727748372565636618377275861489242010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 668Runs Allowed 701
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#230% 42/13828% 39/13826% 36/138#330% 42/13830% 41/13827% 37/13825% 34/13829% 40/138#131% 32/10239% 9/23
RA#330% 42/13822% 30/138#132% 44/13820% 28/13828% 38/138#231% 43/13823% 32/13820% 27/13829% 33/11461% 14/23
RedsR#230% 43/14127% 38/141#138% 53/14129% 41/141#330% 43/14128% 40/14124% 34/14128% 39/14129% 34/11676% 13/17
RA#138% 54/14129% 41/14130% 43/141#333% 46/14126% 37/14128% 39/141#233% 47/14126% 37/14128% 32/11359% 10/17

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.