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Final
2023-09-0504:10Tropicana Field
7-3
Rays
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
55%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 55%
Sustained highCombined vs league +34pp
#2
Inn.3
Red Sox scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +17pp
#3
Inn.8
Red Sox scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Rays defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Rays offense × Red Sox defense
55%R 55% · RA 55%
Sample 20Combined vs league +34pp
Last 20 90% · Season 67% · +23pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
64%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
69%
+12pp
7–9 Late
61%
+7pp
F5 first five
62%
+5pp
F9 full game
65%
+9pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games
0306192123747617169284663788147286592986816577464845439121110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 683Runs Allowed 659

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games
029598811886351876326972383824906758762672607944485251912810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 732Runs Allowed 544
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#234% 47/13724% 33/13728% 39/137#332% 44/13730% 41/137#140% 55/13730% 41/13730% 41/13727% 29/10667% 6/9
RA30% 41/13732% 44/13728% 38/137#234% 46/137#333% 45/137#138% 52/13725% 34/13727% 37/13724% 26/10878% 7/9
RaysR#234% 47/13733% 45/13726% 35/137#334% 47/13729% 40/13730% 41/13732% 44/137#136% 49/13731% 31/9964% 7/11
RA18% 25/13726% 35/137#228% 39/137#133% 45/13727% 37/13726% 35/137#328% 38/13722% 30/13723% 25/11036% 4/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.