Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-0404:10Progressive Field

Rays

Away

6-2

Guardians

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Rays	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	3	6	13	2
Guardians	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	5	3

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Rays scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Guardians scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.6

Rays scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 30%

Guardians scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.1

Rays scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 50%

Guardians scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Guardians defense

43%R 40% · RA 45%

Guardians offense × Rays defense

35%R 45% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp

Last 20 78% · Season 60% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

59%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

67%

+10pp

7–9 Late

58%

+5pp

F5 first five

62%

+4pp

F9 full game

61%

+6pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

136 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 726Runs Allowed 542

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

136 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 555Runs Allowed 562

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	#235% 47/136	33% 45/136	25% 34/136	#335% 47/136	29% 40/136	30% 41/136	32% 44/136	#135% 48/136	31% 30/98	64% 7/11
Rays	RA	18% 25/136	26% 35/136	#228% 38/136	#133% 45/136	26% 36/136	26% 35/136	#328% 38/136	22% 30/136	23% 25/109	36% 4/11
Guardians	R	#129% 40/136	25% 34/136	23% 31/136	#229% 39/136	26% 36/136	24% 32/136	#328% 38/136	24% 33/136	21% 23/107	69% 18/26
Guardians	RA	#132% 44/136	16% 22/136	24% 32/136	24% 32/136	#329% 39/136	#232% 44/136	24% 33/136	24% 32/136	23% 25/108	58% 15/26

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.