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Final
2023-09-0401:40Citi Field
3-6
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Mariners000300000361
Mets11201010X6100

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Mariners scoring tendency
44%
Own scoring 53%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 42%
Sustained highCombined vs league +26pp
#2
Inn.6
Mariners scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.3
Mariners scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Mets defense
44%R 53% · RA 35%
Mets offense × Mariners defense
34%R 25% · RA 42%
Sample 15Combined vs league +26pp
Last 20 78% · Season 54% · +24pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+2pp
7–9 Late
59%
+6pp
F5 first five
54%
-3pp
F9 full game
58%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

135 games
0285785114756717051277883884246971557616564979144848489182010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 649Runs Allowed 541

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

136 games
0275481109428715172281633845648377572726667974474852399161210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 591Runs Allowed 631
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#230% 41/13529% 39/13527% 36/135#330% 40/13529% 39/13527% 37/13524% 33/13530% 40/135#131% 31/9939% 9/23
RA#330% 40/13521% 28/135#131% 42/13521% 28/13527% 37/135#231% 42/13522% 30/13519% 26/13528% 32/11361% 14/23
MetsR20% 27/13621% 29/136#234% 46/136#135% 48/13630% 41/136#333% 45/13526% 35/13519% 26/13525% 27/10789% 8/9
RA#138% 51/13629% 40/13626% 35/13623% 31/13629% 40/13628% 38/135#232% 43/135#330% 41/13524% 23/9756% 5/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.