Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-0401:35Nationals Park

Marlins

Away

6-4

Nationals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	6	10	2
Nationals	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	4	10	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Marlins scoring tendency

50%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 55%

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp

Inn.1

Marlins scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Nationals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.9

Marlins scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 12%

Opponent allowing 38%

Nationals scoring tendency

31%

Own scoring 38%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Nationals defense

50%R 45% · RA 55%

Nationals offense × Marlins defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp

Last 20 82% · Season 59% · +24pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

63%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

49%

-8pp

7–9 Late

48%

-6pp

F5 first five

59%

+1pp

F9 full game

53%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

136 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 553Runs Allowed 599

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 591Runs Allowed 707

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	23% 31/136	23% 31/136	#133% 45/136	#229% 40/136	24% 32/136	24% 33/136	24% 33/136	#329% 39/136	23% 24/106	74% 14/19
Marlins	RA	21% 28/136	25% 34/136	25% 34/136	#230% 41/136	26% 35/136	#132% 43/136	#329% 40/136	27% 37/136	28% 29/103	58% 11/19
Nationals	R	#231% 43/137	#132% 44/137	25% 34/137	#328% 39/137	23% 31/137	24% 33/137	26% 35/137	26% 36/137	27% 30/113	88% 7/8
Nationals	RA	31% 43/137	30% 41/137	#334% 47/137	#236% 50/137	24% 33/137	30% 41/137	#139% 53/137	28% 39/137	30% 31/105	38% 3/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.