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Final
2023-09-0307:10Citi Field
8-7
Mets
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Mariners0120130018100
Mets0003030107131

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Mariners scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 47%
Sustained highCombined vs league +27pp
#2
Inn.6
Mariners scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.3
Mariners scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Mets defense
43%R 50% · RA 35%
Mets offense × Mariners defense
36%R 25% · RA 47%
Sample 14Combined vs league +27pp
Last 20 79% · Season 54% · +25pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+1pp
7–9 Late
60%
+7pp
F5 first five
54%
-3pp
F9 full game
57%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

134 games
0285785114756716951275883883946871554586564979143847489182010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 641Runs Allowed 534

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

135 games
0275481109428715171281613815648376569696667974374852389161210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 584Runs Allowed 623
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#231% 41/13428% 38/13426% 35/134#330% 40/13428% 38/13427% 36/13425% 33/13430% 40/134#131% 30/9839% 9/23
RA#330% 40/13421% 28/134#131% 42/13420% 27/13428% 37/134#231% 41/13422% 30/13419% 25/13429% 32/11261% 14/23
MetsR20% 27/13521% 29/135#234% 46/135#135% 47/13530% 41/135#333% 44/13426% 35/13419% 25/13425% 27/10689% 8/9
RA#138% 51/13529% 39/13525% 34/13523% 31/13529% 39/13528% 37/134#232% 43/134#331% 41/13423% 22/9656% 5/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.