Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-0306:40Great American Ball Park

Cubs

Away

1-2

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	5	0
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2X	2	9	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Cubs scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 30%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.9

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 14%

Reds scoring tendency

33%

Own scoring 37%

Opponent allowing 29%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.1

Cubs scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 30%

Reds scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Reds defense

40%R 50% · RA 30%

Reds offense × Cubs defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 72% · Season 62% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-5pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-4pp

7–9 Late

55%

+2pp

F5 first five

55%

-2pp

F9 full game

53%

-3pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

135 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 676Runs Allowed 596

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 646Runs Allowed 676

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	29% 39/135	26% 35/135	#134% 46/135	#234% 46/135	30% 40/135	23% 31/135	26% 35/135	#330% 41/135	27% 27/100	50% 5/10
Cubs	RA	#233% 45/135	29% 39/135	#136% 49/135	28% 38/135	22% 30/135	25% 34/135	#330% 40/135	24% 33/135	22% 24/108	50% 5/10
Reds	R	#330% 41/137	26% 36/137	#138% 52/137	30% 41/137	#231% 43/137	28% 38/137	24% 33/137	27% 37/137	28% 32/113	76% 13/17
Reds	RA	#138% 52/137	29% 40/137	31% 43/137	#233% 45/137	26% 35/137	28% 38/137	#332% 44/137	26% 36/137	28% 30/109	59% 10/17

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.