#1
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 50%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp
Scoring Analysis
H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.
Scoring hotspots
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.
#2
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp
#3
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies
Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split
Nationals offense × Blue Jays defense
25%R 30% · RA 20%
+
Blue Jays offense × Nationals defense
35%R 20% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +2pp
Last 20 60% · Season 57% · +3pp
Game phases
1–3 Early
52%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-8pp
7–9 Late
53%
-1pp
F5 first five
52%
-5pp
F9 full game
51%
-5pp
Show team trends+
Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed
133 gamesAvg Runs Trend
Runs 580Runs Allowed 675
Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed
133 gamesAvg Runs Trend
Runs 596Runs Allowed 539
Show raw detail and samples+
Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.
| Team | Item | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals | R | #232% 42/133 | #132% 43/133 | 25% 33/133 | #329% 39/133 | 22% 29/133 | 24% 32/133 | 26% 35/133 | 27% 36/133 | 27% 29/109 | 83% 5/6 |
| RA | 29% 39/133 | 30% 40/133 | #334% 45/133 | #235% 47/133 | 24% 32/133 | 30% 40/133 | #138% 51/133 | 29% 39/133 | 29% 30/102 | 17% 1/6 | |
| Blue Jays | R | 24% 32/133 | #329% 39/133 | 27% 36/133 | #230% 40/133 | 29% 38/133 | 25% 33/133 | 27% 36/133 | #132% 43/133 | 25% 26/103 | 55% 11/20 |
| RA | 27% 36/133 | 23% 30/133 | #129% 38/133 | 25% 33/133 | #328% 37/133 | 21% 28/133 | 17% 23/133 | #229% 38/133 | 26% 28/108 | 55% 11/20 |
Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.