Sportify
Final
2023-08-3007:07Rogers Centre
Team123456789RHE
Nationals020030000580
Blue Jays0010001114110

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#2
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 50%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Blue Jays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Blue Jays defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Blue Jays offense × Nationals defense
32%R 45% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp
Last 20 65% · Season 60% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-6pp
7–9 Late
50%
-4pp
F5 first five
53%
-4pp
F9 full game
51%
-5pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

132 games
0316395127816817564254733648344782562696641017607485655912210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 575Runs Allowed 671

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

132 games
0255075100558017549263683666347663547386574077672854409232110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 592Runs Allowed 534
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#132% 42/132#232% 42/13225% 33/132#330% 39/13221% 28/13224% 32/13227% 35/13227% 36/13227% 29/10883% 5/6
RA30% 39/13230% 40/132#333% 44/132#236% 47/13224% 32/13230% 40/132#138% 50/13229% 38/13229% 29/10117% 1/6
Blue JaysR24% 32/132#330% 39/13227% 35/132#230% 40/13229% 38/13225% 33/13227% 35/132#132% 42/13225% 25/10255% 11/20
RA#327% 36/13222% 29/132#129% 38/13225% 33/13227% 36/13221% 28/13217% 23/132#229% 38/13226% 28/10755% 11/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.