Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-08-2907:45Busch Stadium

Padres

Away

4-1

Cardinals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Padres	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	4	12	1
Cardinals	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	4	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Padres scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Cardinals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.7

Padres scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 50%

Cardinals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.3

Padres scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Cardinals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Cardinals defense

32%R 20% · RA 45%

Cardinals offense × Padres defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 68% · Season 58% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

53%

-4pp

4–6 Middle

55%

-2pp

7–9 Late

54%

+0pp

F5 first five

54%

-3pp

F9 full game

54%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

131 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 589Runs Allowed 536

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

131 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 589Runs Allowed 664

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Padres	R	#234% 44/131	24% 31/131	29% 38/131	26% 34/131	#134% 45/131	27% 36/131	24% 32/131	#330% 39/131	26% 25/97	36% 5/14
Padres	RA	25% 33/131	24% 31/131	24% 32/131	25% 33/131	#226% 34/131	#127% 36/131	#326% 34/131	21% 27/131	17% 18/104	93% 13/14
Cardinals	R	#131% 41/131	#231% 41/131	#331% 41/131	26% 34/131	24% 32/131	28% 37/131	25% 33/131	25% 33/131	30% 32/105	44% 4/9
Cardinals	RA	#334% 45/131	25% 33/131	#237% 48/131	27% 35/131	31% 40/131	30% 39/131	#137% 49/131	24% 32/131	32% 31/98	67% 6/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.