Sportify
Final
2023-08-2907:07Rogers Centre
Team123456789RHE
Nationals100020000372
Blue Jays04101000X690

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#2
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 50%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Blue Jays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Blue Jays defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Blue Jays offense × Nationals defense
32%R 45% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp
Last 20 70% · Season 61% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-7pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
51%
-6pp
F9 full game
51%
-5pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

131 games
0316395127806817560254723648344581562696641017607485655912210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 572Runs Allowed 665

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

131 games
024497499557917149262683666347561547386574077672854409232110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 586Runs Allowed 531
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#231% 41/131#132% 42/13125% 33/131#330% 39/13121% 27/13124% 32/13127% 35/13127% 36/13127% 29/10783% 5/6
RA30% 39/13130% 39/131#333% 43/131#236% 47/13124% 31/13131% 40/131#138% 50/13129% 38/13129% 29/10117% 1/6
Blue JaysR24% 32/131#329% 38/13126% 34/131#231% 40/13128% 37/13125% 33/13127% 35/131#132% 42/13125% 25/10255% 11/20
RA#327% 35/13122% 29/131#129% 38/13125% 33/13127% 35/13121% 28/13118% 23/131#229% 38/13126% 28/10655% 11/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.