Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-08-2507:05PNC Park

Cubs

Away

5-4

Pirates

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Cubs	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	10	2
Pirates	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Cubs scoring tendency

50%

Own scoring 60%

Opponent allowing 40%

Pirates scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +31pp

Inn.1

Cubs scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 45%

Pirates scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.5

Cubs scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 50%

Pirates scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Pirates defense

50%R 60% · RA 40%

Pirates offense × Cubs defense

40%R 35% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +31pp

Last 20 90% · Season 61% · +29pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

64%

+7pp

4–6 Middle

72%

+15pp

7–9 Late

58%

+5pp

F5 first five

70%

+12pp

F9 full game

65%

+9pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

126 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 636Runs Allowed 570

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

127 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 534Runs Allowed 617

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	27% 34/126	27% 34/126	#135% 44/126	#235% 44/126	29% 36/126	24% 30/126	28% 35/126	#330% 38/126	25% 23/93	44% 4/9
Cubs	RA	#233% 41/126	29% 37/126	#137% 46/126	29% 37/126	24% 30/126	27% 34/126	#330% 38/126	25% 32/126	22% 22/100	44% 4/9
Pirates	R	24% 31/127	#230% 38/127	26% 33/127	#131% 39/127	22% 28/127	#329% 37/127	25% 32/127	17% 22/127	21% 21/99	60% 6/10
Pirates	RA	#139% 49/127	25% 32/127	29% 37/127	28% 35/127	29% 37/127	#230% 38/127	#330% 38/127	29% 37/127	22% 21/95	80% 8/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.