Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-08-2501:05Yankee Stadium

Nationals

Away

6-5

Yankees

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	0	1	6	9	0
Yankees	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	5	12	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Yankees scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.2

Nationals scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 55%

Yankees scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.6

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Yankees scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Yankees defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Yankees offense × Nationals defense

40%R 35% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 72% · Season 57% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

65%

+8pp

4–6 Middle

46%

-11pp

7–9 Late

52%

-1pp

F5 first five

55%

-2pp

F9 full game

54%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

127 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 555Runs Allowed 652

Yankees — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

126 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 533Runs Allowed 553

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#231% 40/127	#133% 42/127	24% 31/127	#330% 38/127	21% 27/127	24% 31/127	26% 33/127	28% 35/127	26% 27/103	83% 5/6
Nationals	RA	30% 38/127	31% 39/127	#332% 41/127	#237% 47/127	24% 31/127	31% 39/127	#139% 49/127	28% 36/127	29% 28/98	17% 1/6
Yankees	R	#329% 36/126	20% 25/126	25% 32/126	26% 33/126	27% 34/126	25% 32/126	#229% 37/126	24% 30/126	#134% 32/95	43% 6/14
Yankees	RA	#131% 39/126	#328% 35/126	#231% 39/126	25% 31/126	24% 30/126	27% 34/126	25% 31/126	25% 32/126	19% 19/101	57% 8/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.