Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-08-2404:10Petco Park

Marlins

Away

0-4

Padres

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0
Padres	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	X	4	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Marlins scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Padres scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +4pp

Inn.1

Marlins scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Padres scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +1pp

Inn.3

Marlins scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Padres scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Padres defense

32%R 25% · RA 40%

Padres offense × Marlins defense

28%R 25% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +4pp

Last 20 60% · Season 55% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

-0pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+2pp

7–9 Late

45%

-8pp

F5 first five

57%

-0pp

F9 full game

53%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

127 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 518Runs Allowed 559

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

127 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 572Runs Allowed 514

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	21% 27/127	24% 30/127	#132% 41/127	#230% 38/127	24% 31/127	25% 32/127	24% 31/127	#330% 38/127	23% 23/98	75% 12/16
Marlins	RA	20% 25/127	25% 32/127	25% 32/127	#131% 40/127	26% 33/127	#231% 39/127	#329% 37/127	28% 36/127	27% 26/95	50% 8/16
Padres	R	#233% 42/127	23% 29/127	#330% 38/127	26% 33/127	#135% 45/127	27% 34/127	24% 30/127	30% 38/127	26% 24/94	36% 5/14
Padres	RA	25% 32/127	24% 31/127	24% 30/127	#226% 33/127	#326% 33/127	#128% 35/127	25% 32/127	21% 27/127	17% 18/103	93% 13/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.